White Christmas chance looks very low for the Carolinas

Posted December 20, 2017

Despite some snow storms early this month, temperatures across the country are now relatively mild with maximum temperatures ranging between 9 and 11 degrees, and minimum temperatures above freezing.

Other major guidance models, including the normally reliable European model, are projecting a later return of colder air.

Depending on the timing of the fronts, we could either see wet, windy and mild conditions for Christmas day, or alternatively a colder spell with some wintry showers in the north.

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A white Christmas has always been a novelty to have snow falling the morning after Santa makes his annual trip around the world delivering presents. With enough sunshine, temperatures could go a couple degrees higher than what we're forecasting. Uncertainty is still high, so we can still easily be sitting around in short sleeves and shorts on Christmas Day.

We'll be able to better reap the benefits of the warm sector on Tuesday, as southwest winds increase, the sun has a little more luck at breaking through the clouds, and temperatures respond and soar to near 50 degrees by afternoon.

Consequently the snow line will rise to over 1,000m, with heavy rain forecast below that level in many places on Friday night.

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According to MeteoSuisse, it's pretty rare for Swiss city dwellers to experience a white Christmas - meaning snow on the ground from Christmas Eve to Boxing Day.

The lack of rain and snow across the region can be largely attributed to a dry arctic airmass that settled in to the region during the second week of the month. The Canadian model also shows a chance of snow through the evening on Christmas Day.

Unsettled weather is forecast for the weekend, with some national media outlets reporting on the possibility of Storm Dylan.

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Keep updated to the forecast this week, especially those who are expecting to travel. Both models eventually show very cold air coming to most of the USA over the next week to ten days.